ECONOMIC/BUSINESS TOPICS CURRENT TRENDS (NEWS):
Oil price fall put Nigeria’s economy
in quagmire, but Naira devaluation and MPR raise would boost the Economy IF!:
MONOECONOMIC ISSUES
Nigeria’s
Economy suffering from the oil price fall would be effectively managed with
CBN’s policy of Naira devaluation and MPR raise, if we have good export base,
our non oil exports goods would be cheaper in relative to other countries,
provided, the majority of the raw
materials for this non oil export produce are locally sourced. This would
increase productivity, create jobs and at the long run strengthen the Naira as
demand for Naira would increase due to foreign demands for our exports. But
reverse would be the case if our export base is small, source raw materials
abroad. So the governments are to aggressively market Nigeria products abroad,
bilateral trade relationships strengthened with aggressive export promotion
drive.
The
Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) raised the benchmark interest rate from 12 to
13 per cent, and increased of private sector Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) from 15
to 20 per cent. For the raise, in interest rate from 12 to 13 per cent,
it would bring Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) if we have structured Nigeria
assets that would attract foreign investors at a higher interest rate. The
investors in government securities would gain but borrowers (in real sector
investors) would not find it funny.
Crude oil accounts for 95 percent of
our foreign exchange. It is time for full diversification of the economy with
export promotion drive which would benefit the country with this devaluation
policy drive, reducing over dependency on crude oil. We can do it! It is
possible!
Guide and immune yourself and take
advantages on the followings:
- Political Risk
- Oil price fall
- High inflation
- High Unemployment
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